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(Posted 25 Feb) As we noted last month, quite apart from the conventional wisdom, we believe it probable that Hillary Clinton will run into serious problems on her way to what the punditry and the political class have labeled a coronation for the last year and a half. We just never have believed that.
It is true that the mainstream media (MSM) will fawn over her and try as hard as they currently try not to report stuff, but an alternative narrative will emerge and it will be different in substantive ways from the one both the MSM and Hillary prefer as the received narrative.
The Clintons are, after all, old school, and old hat, and well, corrupt—at least in the way so many will come to interpret that word. Will they be shown to have done things that are indictable? Well, probably not. But such things as her 11,880% profit from her cattle futures trading will come under greater scrutiny. (We never could understand how that had received such a pass.) Her odds of her "success" in the wild and volatile world of commodities trading by the way, has been estimated at 1 in 31 trillion. That's 1 in 31,000,000,000,000. That makes Powerball look like a routine hand of Blackjack. Put another way, it's like buying a pair of skates one day and winning the Olympic figure skating competition the next.
Those things, and there are many more, in both her personal life as well as her remarkably unsuccessful public service, where she not only has no achievements, she has negative achievements (if there can be such a thing). Much of the events spiraling out of control today had their beginnings, or at least huge contributions to them, on her watch. She either paid no attention at all, or had no idea at all of what course to pursue in any one of at least twenty emerging crises. So she elected to travel, and be photographed, and hobnob.
She has no record to run on. And she really doesn't want to run on any of her past. So what has she got? Her husband. Amazing, but true. Will that be enough? Maybe. But we are betting no. You heard it here first: The Hillary Clinton Campaign will come apart at the seams. We think prior to the nomination. But even if she weathers that, she just won't make it to the presidency. Obama-ites hate her. They aren't going to help. She's just not going to make it.
Next time, we'll take a look at who might do better on the Democratic side.
Email us with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas about the Democratic nomination for President 2016. Should we continue the discussion?