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A GREAT REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE for US SENATE: And, NO, this is NOT an APRIL FOOL's PRANK

04/01/2019

Everywhere we turn, the New Mexico media, punditry, and the Democratic Party itself are all talking about the next Democrat candidate for the US Senate seat being vacated by Senator Tom Udall. Almost nothing has been said about any potential Republican candidates.

The exceptions are a couple of newspaper columnists who speculated about former Congressman Steve Pearce's supposed ambition to give it another go. (Their conclusions are that that is a bad idea.) We'll leave that to them.

There is also the strongly-held perception in the state that New Mexico has become a "solid red state." (We hate that term, but it makes sense with the masses.¹) There is also some despair among Republicans.² 

We demur.

New Mexico Appears to be More Potentially Competitive than is Perceived to be Possible

It would probably surprise most voters, and most media and politicians, to learn that there are 35 states that are actually less competitive in presidential elections than New Mexico. That is correct: New Mexico would rank #15 in terms of the closeness of presidential elections. 

New Mexico is more competitive than Texas, where the famous "Beto" recently stunned the world by coming within 2.6% of beating incumbent Republican Ted Cruz. We are also only slightly less competitive than Ohio—where virtually anyone can win at any time. 

Additionally, no one can predict the national mood in October of next year. So much depends on the behavior of Trump, the direction the Democratic Party goes with their nominee, the state of the economy, and voters' perception of our national security posture, and perhaps that of our national sovereignty/control of our own borders.³ 

It is not out of the realm of possibility that the Democrats blow their national messaging and propose such an array of public policies that the public grows to perceive them as simply unacceptable. In any case, New Mexico could easily be in play.

Our Recommendation: A Candidate who can Sharply Contrast with the Democrat Candidate Model

We are proposing for voters' consideration, and for the Republicans of New Mexico as they consider who to nominate, former State Representative Conrad James of Albuquerque. 

(And no, we have not spoken with the former representative, and no, we do not have any idea what his inclination would be. We are only saying why he should attract the attention of GOP donors all over the country, and why they should get behind him.)

Here is What Wikipedia says about Conrad James

"Since 2002, James has been employed as a researcher at Sandia National Laboratories, where he develops biosensors. His work has included research into how immune cells respond to pathogens in the first minutes of exposure and investigating the performance of engineered neural networks. James' research has been published in Journal of Fluid Engineering, Applied Physics Letters, Neurochemical Research, IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, Nanotechnology, and Biomed Microdevices. James also holds several patents."

New Mexico Legislature

"In 2010 James ran unopposed to represent District 24 in the New Mexico House of Representatives. In the legislature, he served on the appropriations committee and elections committee and received a "Spirit of Bipartisanship Award" from New Mexico First, a civic group founded by Pete Domenici and Jeff Bingaman. In 2012, James received a "Soaring Eagle Award" from the New Mexico Association of Counties for 'leadership in securing legislation vital to protecting and advancing county interests.'"

[EDITOR'S NOTE: Following the 2011 Redistricting, James's district was made to lean Democrat. As a result, and with Obama's strong showing in 2012 he lost the seat. However, he won it back in 2014. He did not seek reelection in 2016. He has a young family.] 

Background

"James received a B.A. summa cum laude in electrical engineering from the University of Notre Dame in 1996. He went on to earn an M.S. and Ph.D. from Cornell University, in applied and engineering physics. His doctoral dissertation focused on the fabrication of microelectrode arrays to monitor the electrical activity of in vitro neural networks as a function of network architecture."

More Important, Conrad James is an Articulate, Attractive Candidate

Sure, many people are skeptical of "credentials," so we won't dwell on that so much. It's just that Conrad James is someone who combines credentials with actual political skill and appeal. His background is in science. According to our sources who served in the legislature, he is rare commodity for that body:

"The most intelligent legislator I served with," said one. 

"Well read, well informed, extremely knowledgeable, logical, and articulate, a perfect statewide candidate," said another.

Such a contrast with the Typical Democrat New Mexico Pol

We hear from voters who are increasingly tired of the New Mexico Democrat model for politicians. Most Democrats in office today have never been in the actual workforce.

They come from career paths that had them being greeters or glad-handers at casinos. Many are out-of-staters who showed up in New Mexico to do highly partisan work for "non-profits" which are deeply engaged in political activities. In other words, the "community organizer" model is a major source of New Mexico Democrat pols.

Imagine Conrad James debating Maggie Toulouse Oliver, or Ben Ray Lujan, or Deb Haaland. If the Democrats chose to engage, they'd come off as, well, more or less pathetic. 

The "Beto" Thing

For whatever reason, Beto O'Rourke has women swooning all over America. He generates wildly enthusiastic crowds and responses because of his "charisma," "charm," and "remarkable good looks." Well, we decided to test the Beto thing against Conrad James.

We asked nearly one hundred women, all involved in New Mexico politics one way or another, which candidate, between Beto O'Rourke, was more attractive. Shockingly, the answer was overwhelmingly in support of Conrad James. An astounding 98.5% chose Conrad James. 

Now, we do not endorse such criteria for decision-making, nor have we ever. In fact we believe it is a silly criterion. But we are realistic and we recognize the increasingly emotional and mercurial "decision-making" process many voters go through as the electorate becomes less and less informed as the years go by.

The point is, whether you would be dealing with that part of the electorate that reads, thinks, and reflects on public policy questions—certainly a minority of the electorate—or that portion (and probable majority) of the electorate which is vastly more emotional, Conrad James would be a formidable candidate. Republicans would do well to look closely at him and encourage his candidacy.

NOTE: We are not Saying that there are no Other Republican Candidates

We realize there may be other highly qualified candidates in the Republican Party—former Lt. Governor John Sanchez comes to mind immediately. Also, there is former Governor Susana Martinez, who would be a superb US Senator. But as this publication has documented in detail, certain Republicans have worked overtime to present a false and defamatory narrative of Martinez, and their continued cancerous and malignant effect on the party unfortunately remains. 

As of now, they have not taken aim at Conrad James. (Though they are not above doing so, depending on their individual interests and desires.)


¹ The application of the color red to the Republican Party came about as a result of efforts by TV people at ABC News. They responded to some whining by Democrats. Prior to 2000, most networks assigned blue to the party, as is done world-wide: red is the color of left-of-center parties and blue is assigned to right-of-center parties. Many scholars and psephologists, including the extremely valuable resource Dave Leip, continue to use the valid colors.

² We are hearing increasingly growing awareness and an angry realization among the Republican rank and file that they have been betrayed by the Yates-Cangiolosi-Murphy-Billingsley-Pearce regime, which focused on attacking the Republican governor and on their own interests. This resulted in the party's most catastrophic defeat in New Mexico history.

³ While Trump has not been able to discipline himself, his administration continues to be highly successful. If he had discipline and could curb his ego, he would have about 51% to 52% of the electorate solidly behind him right now. If he continues to step on his message and his own administration's success, then the outcome in 2020 will depend on exactly what 2016 depended on: the choice the Democrats make, and the campaign they run, not Trump.

 


Email us (at nmpj@dfn.com) with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas.


Intelligent Political Discourse—for the Thoughtful New Mexican

 

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National Issues

National Issues

Democrats

2016 Presidential Campaign - Democrats

Republicans

2016 Presidential Campaign - Republicans

Jeb Bush gets religion.

"They said he got religion at the end, and I'm glad that he did."  — Tom T. Hall. The Year Clayton Delaney died.

Well, it's official.  Jeb Bush has changed quite of few of his positions on illegal immigration.  The single most significant is that he no longer endorses the "path to citizenship" for those who came here illegally. 

This is, after all, the key portion of any proposal aimed at "reforming" our existing illegal immigration situation.

No sensible citizen can see any point in trying to deport between 12 and 16 million people currently living in America illegally.  And no candidate for any office that we know of supports that.  What the average American wants is for the country to "get a handle on it."  They want it stopped, our borders secured and future illegal immigration prevented.  It is a national security issue.

The Path to Legal Status

The only way to accomplish the above goals, is to identify current illegal immigrants, get them accounted for, have them documented, and placed on a path to legal status.  Neither they nor their children or spouses should live in a state of fear or anxiety.

But a path to "citizenship" is not the right course.  It is not morally or legally correct.  A merciful and compassionate nation can provide the safeguards of legal status without sending the message to the rest of the world that all you have to do is cross our border and you will eventually get to become a citizen, thus circumventing the legal framework scores of millions of Americans have followed, honored and respected.

If someone who is granted legal status eventually wants to become a citizen, that person should have to return to his or her country of origin and wait in line like 20 million people around the world are doing at any given time.  Failing that, America will forever send the signal that anyone in the world can "jump the line," and that there is no reason at all to obey our immigration and naturalization laws.

We Like Jeb Bush

We are glad Jeb Bush has learned this lesson.  He is a fine speaker, and can eloquently explain his positions on complex issue.  If he were not named "Bush" he would be an actual top tier candidate—in all that that title would entail, including likelihood of acceptance and support of and from the American people in the primaries, and in any theoretical general election.  

We also recognize that he already is a de facto top-tier candidate because of his fame and his fundraising.

If he were to be the nominee of the Republican Party we would heartily support him and endorse him.  We hope, however, that he is not, as he does not give the center-right coalition the best chance of winning.

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    Selma   ????? We have now seen the Oscar-nominated movie Selma.   Our earlier allusion to criticism that sounded as though it was in an Oliver Stone category for historical fabrication is some...

Sports

Sports

The Major League Baseball Playoffs are not realistic, and destroy the actual meaning of the sport. 

Major League Baseball is unique in this respect—its postseason is markedly different from the way the game is played normally.  No other major league sport suffers from this flaw.

Not that much is wrong with baseball. In some respects it's the most well thought-out sport there is.  The "perfect game" many aficionados say.

But the Major League Baseball postseason experience is unique in the world of professional sports, and not in a good way. 

In fact the playoffs are flawed in such a way as to detract from the sport itself and diminish the game and what it means to be the world champion of the sport. 

Among the Big Four team sports of North America: football, hockey, basketball and baseball—and all the 122 professional major league teams competing in the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB respectively—it is in baseball alone that the postseason turns the sport itself on its head and makes it reflect something that it is not.  This article will explain why that happens and why it is wrong-headed.

 

Background on the The Frequency of Play

The 30 teams in both the National Hockey League and the National Basketball Association teams play a very similar schedule.  On average, each team has a day off between games, sometimes two days off.  Though there are back-to-back games, they are relatively infrequent.  NBA teams play between 14 and 22 back-to-back games a season, and for the NHL it usually ranges between 9 and 19. The NFL has a full week between games, the exception being the new Thursday games that each team plays once, leaving them only four days' rest once a year.

But baseball players play every single day.  Ten days straight, then a day off, then seven more games, then a day off, then ten more games.  Typically a baseball team plays 27 games every 30 days.  For the NHL and NBA it would be 14 per month, and for the NFL the number would be 4.

 

Getting to the Playoffs:  It's a grind

In all four sports, getting to the postseason requires a total team effort—in fact an all-out total organizational effort.  Teams must be deep, have bench strength and the capability of moving players in and out of the lineup, and on and off the roster, who can take the place of key players who go down for an injury, or who have to miss games for whatever reason.  While this is true of the other three major sports as well, it is most certainly even more of a concern for baseball teams because of the sheer volume of games in which a team must field a competitive lineup.

Each league's regular season* is a marathon, not a sprint.  NFL teams play for 17 weeks, 16 games.  The NHL has an 82-game season over six months, paralleled by an NBA season of 84 games over the same timeframe. Baseball is the biggest marathon of all—a true test of resilience and endurance—162 games usually starting around the beginning of April and finishing about the end of September.

NHL teams carry 23-man rosters, of which 20 can be active for any particular game.  The NBA is similar, with 15-man rosters of which 13 can be on the bench for a given game. In the NFL, the teams have 53 players on a roster, but only 46 can suit up on game day.  In Major League Baseball, teams have a 25-man active roster, and all 25 are at the park every day.

 

The Postseason Playoffs:  Sport by Sport

The National Football League:

Of the 32 teams, 12 qualify for the playoffs.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season.  Each team plays once a week, the exception being that the four top teams get the first week off.  For a typical qualifier to reach the Super Bowl, the team must play three consecutive weeks.  At that point both remaining teams have two weeks off before the Super Bowl.

In short, the playoffs, with a game each week, reflects the same means of advancement as is present in regular season grind.

The National Hockey League: 

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

 

The National Basketball Association

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

Major League Baseball

10 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  (Although four of those teams qualify only for a one-game do-or-die play-in game.)

Here is where all similarity to baseball ends. 

Unlike the other three sports whose playoffs mirror the test of the regular season, and whose conditions are the same as the regular season, Major League Baseball playoffs in no way resemble the sport itself.  In hockey, basketball and football, the teams win playoff games and reach the pinacle of the sport in exactly the same way that they qualify to try to do so. 

Not so in baseball.  They are two entirely different concepts.  Teams make the playoffs only because they have depth, five-man pitching rotations and can play day-in and day-out at a high level.  But the baseball playoffs suddenly become a kind of "all-star" game within each team's roster.  MLB playoffs are conducted in a way that more closely follows the NBA and the NHL.  Teams have enormous numbers of days off. 

Here's the key point:  No Major League Baseball team could even qualify for the postseason if they played the same way during the regular season that they do in the playoffs.  None.

In the regular season Major League Baseball teams have to use a 5-man starting rotation, with pitchers pitching every 5th day.  There are not enough days off to have even a four-man rotation, let alone a team with three pitchers.  Even the best team in baseball using only a 4-man rotation, would wear them out, and most likely end up with a record of something like 66-96, or 70-92—and that would be if they were otherwise teh best team in the sport.

 

The 2014 Baseball Postseason is Typical

As examples, last year's World Series teams the Kansas City Royals played only 15 games in 30 days, and the San Francisco Giants played only 17 games in 30 days.  The 12 to 15 days off in the non-baseball fantasy world of the MLB postseason, means that teams can turn to three pitchers and give all of them plenty of rest.  But it isn't the way baseball really works.

At one point, the Royals had 5 consecutive days off, and the Giants had 4.  This never happens in the regular season.  Even the All-Star break is only three days.  Very rarely is there anything beyond a one-day break, and even that happens only a couple of times a month. 

What this means is that neither team used the team that got them to the playoffs.  (The NFL, NBA and NHL teams ALL used the very same teams that got them to the playoffs.) 

Baseball teams use a three-man pitching rotation in the playoffs.  Sometimes, they essentially opt for two pitchers only—conceding the likelihood that some of their games are going to be lost—when their third-, or rarely fourth-best pitcher has to face one of their opponents' two-man or three-man rotation members. 

Imagine an NFL team using only one running back and three wide receivers, instead of rotating through their roster in the course of a playoff game—or using only 4 defensive backs and 4 linebackers, instead of rotating 8 or 9 DBs and 6 or 7 linebackers?  In hockey, would a team use only two or three of their forward lines?  Would an NBA team use only the starting five?  They would never make the post season if they tried to present that product to their fans during the regular season.

Those are the equivalents of what Major League Baseball sets up every fall.  No other sport drags its playoffs out in such a way as to completely change the playing field—completely change the dynamics of its game.

Why Does Baseball Do This?

MLB does this because the TV networks want to drag out the games so that they can try to have one game each day  This requires an unnecessary staggering of games, and creates the phenomenon of 15 off-days in a month.

What about travel days?

What about them?  Baseball has travel days constantly.  A team may play in Chicago one day and in Miami the next, or in New York one day and Phoenix the very next day.  Travel days as a routine part of the game are again, a phenomenon of television, and stretching out the playoffs.

In years past, travel days were employed only when necessary. The famous "subway series" games were played on seven consecutive days.  Why?  Because there was no "travel day" required to go from Brooklyn to the Bronx.  Today, they would put in artificial travel days.

Even fairly long train trips didn't necessarily matter.  The 1948 World Series between the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Braves was played in six consecutive days, October 6 & 7 in Boston, October 8, 9 & 10 in Cleveland, and October 11 back in Boston.

This reflects actual baseball, the way the teams play day-in and day-out, and the kind of unique test that baseball presents to its athletes, its managers and management, and to its fans.

In the modern world of charter planes, teams fly from coast to coast to play games on consecutive days.  The artificial "travel day" should be eliminated so that teams can play in the playoffs in the same way that got them there in the first place.


*All these leagues also have pre-seasons and training camps, which add an additional 6-8 weeks to each player's year.


Email us with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas. 

Religious Issues

Religious Issues

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