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Christine Blasey Ford: A Second Look. At First, We were like Everyone Else—Plausible and Sincere.Now We are Entirely Alone in America: We Now Don’t Believe a Word of it. Not. A. Word.

10/01/2018

[NOTE: First of all, the FBI investigation this week should include a very thorough array of investigations into Ford as well as a seventh background check on Kavanaugh.]

We also note that the Democrats have changed their charges against Kavanaugh from his being guilty of sexual assault to his being unqualified because he drank a lot in high school and college. (As an aside, we wonder what happened to the mantra of "young people's brains are not fully developed until age 25—but that's for another day.)

Our Initial Take on the Ford Testimony: Much Like Many Others’

Like millions of Americans, our first take on the testimony of Christine Blasey Ford was one of great sympathy, empathy, and yes, belief and acceptance. Acceptance that what she was saying was sincere—that it was not only true, in the sense that she believed what she was saying, but in the sense that she had actually been a victim of a sexual assault—perhaps not by Brett Kavanaugh, but by someone, sometime in her life.

To be sure, there were some parts that made us uncomfortable—the obvious lies about fear of flying, about not knowing who paid for the lie detector test, about not knowing when it took place, or whether it was filmed or recorded, about claiming not to know anything about the offer of investigators coming to her. The lies were many and not even convincingly delivered.

But in our sympathy and in our emotional empathy we passed over those, and quickly forgot about them in the tsunami of the definitive, absolute, over-the-top endorsements from mainstream media all the rest of the day. It wasn’t just the mainstream media, Fox News joined everyone else in what became an absolutely obligatory preface or preparatory statement to every single comment at about Ford: That is to say, prior to saying anything about the hearing, each commentator was required by law to drone on for 20 or 30 seconds gushing about how “believable” heart-rending, “heart-breaking” or “obviously sincere” Ford was.

We joined in that mantra. For a while.

Pushback from Readers and NMPJ Team Members

Then we started getting some pushback from readers and from within the NMPJ team. Three women, two men weighed in, each urging that New Mexico Political Journal take a step back. The admonition was this: “Watch the testimony again.” So we all did. And it was a different experience. We quickly remembered Richard Blumenthal’s butchering of his attempt to say the words falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus (meaning if you lie about one thing, you’ll lie about everything).

Things just don’t add up

First, there is the voice. A second (and now a third) time through it comes across fake as hell. The scratchy, little voice with periodic little breaks and sighs sounds more like a six- or seven-year-old than a 51-year-old woman. And no, the mousy little put-on does not occur at “emotional” junctures in the tale she weaves, it just kind of drones throughout.

Whose idea was the polygraph? Scratchy, mousy little voice looking around to see who did, before saying she doesn’t know.

When was the polygraph? Scratchy, mousy little voice looking around to see who did, before saying she doesn’t know.

Where was it? More of the same. Was it on the same day as your grandmother’s funeral? Doesn’t know. This seems completely implausible. It was about seven weeks ago. Not 36 years ago—for which she has some (highly selective) “memories.”

No matter what question was posed—whether it had to do with the alleged incident or was merely an administrative question about her letter, the polygraph, or whether she needed a drink of water or a break, the little girl, scratchy voice was employed throughout.

Question: Is there any existing video of her talking to a college class? Or any other recordings? Is that her real voice? Does she talk like that all the time? We doubt it very seriously.

No Crying

Despite unanimous media characterization as tearful and emotional, Ford did not actually shed a tear throughout her sensational tale of a near-death and near-rape experience. Not at all. Compare her “emotion” (which was actually only consisted of the little 6-year-old voice) to real emotion, and the real tears of Kavanaugh.

His face was flushed. Hers? Never.

His eyes were filled with tears. Hers? Dry as a bone—a lot like the scratchy, little girl voice.

There was pain in his eyes? Hers? Hard to see (her glasses were filthy as hell) but in reality none.

Yes, he was very passionate. Ford? Not at all. Mousy. Whimpering without tears, but no passion.

Why Lie like Hell?

What was the need to concoct a ridiculous lie that you refused to submit to an investigation because you have a “fear of flying”? This makes no sense. She was bound to be found out on this. With frequent flights to extremely remote parts of the world and routine cross country flights, Ford may have something approaching a million frequent flyer miles. There is no explanation for lying like that. “Falsus in uno….”

Does she really have no idea how the polygraph came about? Who paid for it? Whether she was looking at a camera or not? Whether it was recorded or not? Seriously.

The polygraph consisted of two questions and has not been released for public review.

She testified that she and her husband went to a therapist in 2012 while remodeling their home. She said the need for the therapy was an argument they were having about installing a second front door, which she stated she wanted as an “escape route.”

But the Palo Alto city records show the second front door had been installed four years earlier because the couple was developing a separate rental unit in the home.

Surely she had to know that such a lie could be exposed.

Other Questions

She and her defenders say she has nothing to gain. Why did she establish GoFundMe accounts that now have more than $1 million?

Why did she delete all of her Facebook posts? All of her Tweets?

She went to the house where she was “assaulted” straight from swimming and spent the rest of the day in a wet swim suit? Pretty uncomfortable.

She has no idea where the house was—but her own description places it 8 miles from her home, and remembers Kavanaugh was there.

She doesn’t know how she got home, but says she was driven. But has no idea by whom. And no one has emerged who remembers driving her.

She has given multiple accounts of how many people were present.

She says she ran out of a house in which her close friend was left behind alone to face the prospect of rape.

Kavanaugh has preserved all records about his life, his whereabouts, his yearbooks, and everything. She has either destroyed everything about her life contemporaneous with the alleged events, or she has hidden them.

Kavanaugh was supported at the hearings and in testimonials by his family and friends. No one showed up to show support for Ford. Not her husband. Not her parents. No one.

BOTTOM LINE: WE DON’T BELIEVE A WORD of IT

We know we are now alone in this. Everyone says they either 1) believe her, period, and don’t believe him; 2) believe both, believing each is being honest about their actual memories; 3) believe that she was assaulted, but not by Kavanaugh.

We don’t believe any of that. Not a word.

We believe she has published professional papers and done work for organizations that support Ru-486 and other abortifacients and that she is a very strong, highly motivated supporter of open-ended abortion on demand laws. And that she—incorrectly—believes that Kavanaugh will, somehow “overturn” Roe v. Wade.

She is definitely a committed, pussy-hat-wearing political activist who strongly opposes the appointment of a textualist to the Supreme Court.

She agreed to come forward after the failure of all the other Democrat Party efforts to stop Kavanaugh.

None of the explanations offered by Senator Feinstein—who unquestionably leaked Ford’s letter—make any sense at all.

 

We could be in for a Huge Surprise, But Here’s what we Expect

It could be that the FBI this week finds enormous lies and reprehensible actions carried out by Kavanaugh, exposing him to be unfit for the court. We are open-minded enough to allow that that is possible.

What we expect however is that nothing substantive will emerge. But despite that, we expect the Democrats will show continued bad faith by inventing new reasons to delay the confirmation vote.


Email us (at nmpj@dfn.com) with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas.


Intelligent Political Discourse—for the Thoughtful New Mexican

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2016 Presidential Campaign - Republicans

Jeb Bush gets religion.

"They said he got religion at the end, and I'm glad that he did."  — Tom T. Hall. The Year Clayton Delaney died.

Well, it's official.  Jeb Bush has changed quite of few of his positions on illegal immigration.  The single most significant is that he no longer endorses the "path to citizenship" for those who came here illegally. 

This is, after all, the key portion of any proposal aimed at "reforming" our existing illegal immigration situation.

No sensible citizen can see any point in trying to deport between 12 and 16 million people currently living in America illegally.  And no candidate for any office that we know of supports that.  What the average American wants is for the country to "get a handle on it."  They want it stopped, our borders secured and future illegal immigration prevented.  It is a national security issue.

The Path to Legal Status

The only way to accomplish the above goals, is to identify current illegal immigrants, get them accounted for, have them documented, and placed on a path to legal status.  Neither they nor their children or spouses should live in a state of fear or anxiety.

But a path to "citizenship" is not the right course.  It is not morally or legally correct.  A merciful and compassionate nation can provide the safeguards of legal status without sending the message to the rest of the world that all you have to do is cross our border and you will eventually get to become a citizen, thus circumventing the legal framework scores of millions of Americans have followed, honored and respected.

If someone who is granted legal status eventually wants to become a citizen, that person should have to return to his or her country of origin and wait in line like 20 million people around the world are doing at any given time.  Failing that, America will forever send the signal that anyone in the world can "jump the line," and that there is no reason at all to obey our immigration and naturalization laws.

We Like Jeb Bush

We are glad Jeb Bush has learned this lesson.  He is a fine speaker, and can eloquently explain his positions on complex issue.  If he were not named "Bush" he would be an actual top tier candidate—in all that that title would entail, including likelihood of acceptance and support of and from the American people in the primaries, and in any theoretical general election.  

We also recognize that he already is a de facto top-tier candidate because of his fame and his fundraising.

If he were to be the nominee of the Republican Party we would heartily support him and endorse him.  We hope, however, that he is not, as he does not give the center-right coalition the best chance of winning.

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    Selma   ????? We have now seen the Oscar-nominated movie Selma.   Our earlier allusion to criticism that sounded as though it was in an Oliver Stone category for historical fabrication is some...

Sports

Sports

The Major League Baseball Playoffs are not realistic, and destroy the actual meaning of the sport. 

Major League Baseball is unique in this respect—its postseason is markedly different from the way the game is played normally.  No other major league sport suffers from this flaw.

Not that much is wrong with baseball. In some respects it's the most well thought-out sport there is.  The "perfect game" many aficionados say.

But the Major League Baseball postseason experience is unique in the world of professional sports, and not in a good way. 

In fact the playoffs are flawed in such a way as to detract from the sport itself and diminish the game and what it means to be the world champion of the sport. 

Among the Big Four team sports of North America: football, hockey, basketball and baseball—and all the 122 professional major league teams competing in the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB respectively—it is in baseball alone that the postseason turns the sport itself on its head and makes it reflect something that it is not.  This article will explain why that happens and why it is wrong-headed.

 

Background on the The Frequency of Play

The 30 teams in both the National Hockey League and the National Basketball Association teams play a very similar schedule.  On average, each team has a day off between games, sometimes two days off.  Though there are back-to-back games, they are relatively infrequent.  NBA teams play between 14 and 22 back-to-back games a season, and for the NHL it usually ranges between 9 and 19. The NFL has a full week between games, the exception being the new Thursday games that each team plays once, leaving them only four days' rest once a year.

But baseball players play every single day.  Ten days straight, then a day off, then seven more games, then a day off, then ten more games.  Typically a baseball team plays 27 games every 30 days.  For the NHL and NBA it would be 14 per month, and for the NFL the number would be 4.

 

Getting to the Playoffs:  It's a grind

In all four sports, getting to the postseason requires a total team effort—in fact an all-out total organizational effort.  Teams must be deep, have bench strength and the capability of moving players in and out of the lineup, and on and off the roster, who can take the place of key players who go down for an injury, or who have to miss games for whatever reason.  While this is true of the other three major sports as well, it is most certainly even more of a concern for baseball teams because of the sheer volume of games in which a team must field a competitive lineup.

Each league's regular season* is a marathon, not a sprint.  NFL teams play for 17 weeks, 16 games.  The NHL has an 82-game season over six months, paralleled by an NBA season of 84 games over the same timeframe. Baseball is the biggest marathon of all—a true test of resilience and endurance—162 games usually starting around the beginning of April and finishing about the end of September.

NHL teams carry 23-man rosters, of which 20 can be active for any particular game.  The NBA is similar, with 15-man rosters of which 13 can be on the bench for a given game. In the NFL, the teams have 53 players on a roster, but only 46 can suit up on game day.  In Major League Baseball, teams have a 25-man active roster, and all 25 are at the park every day.

 

The Postseason Playoffs:  Sport by Sport

The National Football League:

Of the 32 teams, 12 qualify for the playoffs.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season.  Each team plays once a week, the exception being that the four top teams get the first week off.  For a typical qualifier to reach the Super Bowl, the team must play three consecutive weeks.  At that point both remaining teams have two weeks off before the Super Bowl.

In short, the playoffs, with a game each week, reflects the same means of advancement as is present in regular season grind.

The National Hockey League: 

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

 

The National Basketball Association

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

Major League Baseball

10 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  (Although four of those teams qualify only for a one-game do-or-die play-in game.)

Here is where all similarity to baseball ends. 

Unlike the other three sports whose playoffs mirror the test of the regular season, and whose conditions are the same as the regular season, Major League Baseball playoffs in no way resemble the sport itself.  In hockey, basketball and football, the teams win playoff games and reach the pinacle of the sport in exactly the same way that they qualify to try to do so. 

Not so in baseball.  They are two entirely different concepts.  Teams make the playoffs only because they have depth, five-man pitching rotations and can play day-in and day-out at a high level.  But the baseball playoffs suddenly become a kind of "all-star" game within each team's roster.  MLB playoffs are conducted in a way that more closely follows the NBA and the NHL.  Teams have enormous numbers of days off. 

Here's the key point:  No Major League Baseball team could even qualify for the postseason if they played the same way during the regular season that they do in the playoffs.  None.

In the regular season Major League Baseball teams have to use a 5-man starting rotation, with pitchers pitching every 5th day.  There are not enough days off to have even a four-man rotation, let alone a team with three pitchers.  Even the best team in baseball using only a 4-man rotation, would wear them out, and most likely end up with a record of something like 66-96, or 70-92—and that would be if they were otherwise teh best team in the sport.

 

The 2014 Baseball Postseason is Typical

As examples, last year's World Series teams the Kansas City Royals played only 15 games in 30 days, and the San Francisco Giants played only 17 games in 30 days.  The 12 to 15 days off in the non-baseball fantasy world of the MLB postseason, means that teams can turn to three pitchers and give all of them plenty of rest.  But it isn't the way baseball really works.

At one point, the Royals had 5 consecutive days off, and the Giants had 4.  This never happens in the regular season.  Even the All-Star break is only three days.  Very rarely is there anything beyond a one-day break, and even that happens only a couple of times a month. 

What this means is that neither team used the team that got them to the playoffs.  (The NFL, NBA and NHL teams ALL used the very same teams that got them to the playoffs.) 

Baseball teams use a three-man pitching rotation in the playoffs.  Sometimes, they essentially opt for two pitchers only—conceding the likelihood that some of their games are going to be lost—when their third-, or rarely fourth-best pitcher has to face one of their opponents' two-man or three-man rotation members. 

Imagine an NFL team using only one running back and three wide receivers, instead of rotating through their roster in the course of a playoff game—or using only 4 defensive backs and 4 linebackers, instead of rotating 8 or 9 DBs and 6 or 7 linebackers?  In hockey, would a team use only two or three of their forward lines?  Would an NBA team use only the starting five?  They would never make the post season if they tried to present that product to their fans during the regular season.

Those are the equivalents of what Major League Baseball sets up every fall.  No other sport drags its playoffs out in such a way as to completely change the playing field—completely change the dynamics of its game.

Why Does Baseball Do This?

MLB does this because the TV networks want to drag out the games so that they can try to have one game each day  This requires an unnecessary staggering of games, and creates the phenomenon of 15 off-days in a month.

What about travel days?

What about them?  Baseball has travel days constantly.  A team may play in Chicago one day and in Miami the next, or in New York one day and Phoenix the very next day.  Travel days as a routine part of the game are again, a phenomenon of television, and stretching out the playoffs.

In years past, travel days were employed only when necessary. The famous "subway series" games were played on seven consecutive days.  Why?  Because there was no "travel day" required to go from Brooklyn to the Bronx.  Today, they would put in artificial travel days.

Even fairly long train trips didn't necessarily matter.  The 1948 World Series between the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Braves was played in six consecutive days, October 6 & 7 in Boston, October 8, 9 & 10 in Cleveland, and October 11 back in Boston.

This reflects actual baseball, the way the teams play day-in and day-out, and the kind of unique test that baseball presents to its athletes, its managers and management, and to its fans.

In the modern world of charter planes, teams fly from coast to coast to play games on consecutive days.  The artificial "travel day" should be eliminated so that teams can play in the playoffs in the same way that got them there in the first place.


*All these leagues also have pre-seasons and training camps, which add an additional 6-8 weeks to each player's year.


Email us with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas. 

Religious Issues

Religious Issues

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