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Republican Party of New Mexico Quadrennial Convention: The "Group B" Republicans Prevail. Now the Aftermath. Many things won't change: Here's Why. The Dividers Form Pro-Democrat Alliance: The disconnect between party "activists" and actual rank-and-file Republican Voters. Pearce weighs in with outright lie? Legislators: Living up to Prior Assessments?

05/25/2016

The "Group B" Republicans Prevail at the State Convention

Our 5-part series on the definitive story of the Republican Party of New Mexico revealed the motivations behind what we have called the "Group B" Republicans in New Mexico—those whose main goal is the pursuit of what they regard as "power and influence." ("Group A" Republicans are focused on winning races against Democrats and trying to gain majorities in the legislature.)

The Group B Republicans have a long, well-established record of spending big money to attack other Republicans in primaries while spending nothing to take on Democrats.¹  This spring they created a proxy war aimed at Governor Martinez and what they perceive to be her "henchperson"² of the moment, Jay McCleskey.

Since they could not (and probably would not) arrange a direct electoral confrontation with the governor, they used as their substitute target National Committeeman Pat Rogers.

Rogers found himself caught in the crossfire between former state chairman Harvey Yates and the governor/McCleskey. The Group B All-stars, aka The Yates Players prevailed easily with Harvey Yates garnering 283 votes to Rogers' 195.


¹As just one example, in 2008, one of the biggest Yates supporters, Mark Murphy of Roswell, spent $550,000 of his own money (out of a total of $670,000 he raised) to attack incumbent conservative Republican state legislators. Meanwhile he spent nothing (0 dollars) to take on a single Democrat in the legislature, or anywhere else. (In 2012, Murphy continued the process, joining Yates in supporting 34-year incumbent Democrat Tim Jennings over a young conservative Republican, and in 2014, a Murphy PAC did the same to another conservative Republican incumbent.)

²We try to use non-sexist terminology.


The Players

In our previous series we touched on what might be termed "awkward motivations" or certainly embarrassing rationales (for mature people at least) of those who have decided to focus their negative attention on Republicans, and especially the governor.

In the event, our analysis of who all was involved in the Yates Players/Group B Republican effort proved to be 100% accurate. These are the forces who lined up together in their attack on Governor Martinez which defeated Rogers:

  1. Congressman Steve Pearce
  2. Albuquerque "progressive" City Councilman Pat Davis
  3. Former state chair John Billingsley
  4. Blogger Joe Monahan
  5. Roswell oilman Mark Murphy
  6. Yates himself
  7. Doug Turner
  8. Andrea Goff
  9. Tom Tinnin
  10. Anissa Ford
  11. ProgessNowNewMexico
  12. Rocky Galassini
  13. State Representative Rod Montoya

Probably no one worked harder to "beat the governor," except perhaps Yates himself (though that would be a close call) than Congressman Steve Pearce. Pearce was everywhere — on the phone, sending out hundreds of emails, snail mail letters, buttonholing Republicans (especially in southeastern NM), composing ads, and tirelessly endorsing Yates at every turn.

Rank and File Republican Voters v. Delegates and Naysayers

Many Republicans—including what might be called "average Republicans"— have contacted us about our series last week. It is important to make a distinction here. When we refer to average Republicans we are talking about those who come from the ranks of the 380,460 registered Republicans in New Mexico. Many are interested in politics, and vote, but are not interested enough to go to county meetings, let alone try to become delegates to a state convention.

These are almost entirely what we call Group A Republicans—they aren't out to "get something out of" their involvement in the political process, they mainly just want to see Republicans win elections. Emails from those folks indicate mostly bewilderment at the shenanigans of the Group B Republicans. (One wrote this morning about how eerie it was listening to Donald Trump on the news this morning because, she said:  "He sounded like Mr. Yates.")

Delegates, unfortunately, can have amongst them a disproportionate number of naysayers, cranks, and people wearing funny hats, and as often as not, people willing, even eager, to have itching ears. After all, grievance is more or less the wave of the present.

Both groups — the 380 thousand average Republicans and the one thousand or so active enough to weave in and out of the "potential delegate" pool — would do well to take a long hard look at those who lined up with Yates and the naysayers, and see exactly what they "accomplished."

Successful attack on Governor Martinez

True. They accomplished that. But what does that mean in context?

We've been observing New Mexico politics for 54 years, and writing about it for 40 years. There have been six Republicans elected governor since 1930, and we've had one hugely prominent US Senator, along with several popular congresspersons.

How many of those individuals even gave a thought of putting together an effort to capture the state legislature?  Let's look:

  • Edwin L. Mechem, Governor 1950-54, 56-58, 60-62. "Big Ed" was gregarious, personally popular and won singular races for a decade, while NO ONE else was winning statewide, or in congress. It was all he could do to get himself elected (he was 4-3, losing twice for governor and once for US Senator) and had no ability, if he had the desire, to try to help others.
  • David F. Cargo, Governor, 1966-70. His nickname, "Lonesome Dave," says it all.
  • Garrey E. Carruthers, Governor, 1986-90. The last of the single 4-year term governors. To be fair, he had little incentive for putting together a majority in the legislature, as his time was limited.
  • Gary E. Johnson, Governor, 1994-2002. A libertarian with little interest in state government and no interest at all in Republican Party politics, he was entirely indifferent to legislative elections and felt his 800 or so vetoes were all the check he needed on the Democrats' power.
  • Pete Domenici, US Senator, 1972-2008. At his peak of power and prestige, "Saint Pete" was almost certainly the most popular elected official in the history of New Mexico, 1912 to present. He knew that, and he knew that making it about him (rather than party) was a key to getting as much as 73% of the vote. He was famous for not bringing anyone along for the ride—certainly not the legislature. This is not a criticism. We understand that—and there is little incentive for any US Senator to try to alter the legislature with whom he does no work and has little interaction. Looking at him along with all the other governors is just a matter of putting everything in perspective. (He did make one exception, for Heather Wilson, and in so doing earned the permanent enmity of the naysayer/nitpicker crowd—the same one behind the Yates effort.)

Susana Martinez Changes the Entire Approach

Susana Martinez, Governor 2010-18. After getting elected, Martinez set about to accomplish what NO ONE else in the history of the state had ever even attempted to do:  win control of the legislature. Looking at campaign finance reports, and open sources such as FollowtheMoney.org., we can see that Martinez raised millions of dollars (it appears $4 to $5 million) in the 2012 and 2014 cycles to try to gain (or hold) the 16 competitive seats in the house and the 10 theoretically competitive seats in the senate.

Organizations such as SusanaPAC, Reform New Mexico Now, and Advance New Mexico Now produced over 400 pieces of mail, hundreds of radio and TV ads in targeted races. No one even came close to raising one-tenth of the amount the governor did. 

Yes, Harvey Yates can be found donating money, but very little of it went into targeted races. The bulk (of his relatively small effort) went to Republicans who were running in overwhelmingly Republican districts—in other words the kinds of contributions that gather “chits” rather than gather seats.

(In the one targeted seat Yates did play in, he gave to 34-year incumbent Democrat Senator Tim Jennings, rather than the young conservative Republican).

Yates supporter Mark Murphy of Roswell, is typical of the Group B Republicans: Almost no donations in targeted districts 2012 and 2014 (to Republicans at least). Though there were “chit” donations.

Like Yates, Murphy poured thousands of dollars into the Jennings race. This was actually keeping up a tradition:  In 1996 he had donated to Democrat incumbent State Representative Barbara Casey (D-Roswell) even as she was being challenged by a conservative Republican woman from Dexter (who upset Casey by 5 votes). 

 

The "Average Republican Voter" (and reader of this column) Looks at Last Saturday

Regular Republican voters, as well as delegates who may have been goaded into going along with the above-listed crowd, will have to take a long, hard look at what was decided last Saturday. Examine those who lined up with Yates and whose motive was to "attack the governor."

They won. But to what end? They attacked the very first Republican governor in the history of the state to work for a majority in the legislature—the first to Republican leader to risk her own political capital.  We cannot tell you how extremely rare it is — not just in New Mexico, but all over the nation —for a politician to risk his or her personal political capital. 

What does she get for it?  The enmity of the Group B Republicans.

Why? Multiple reasons, dating back to 2002. But none of them are good reasons, mature reasons. And this is important:  They would not be reasons that ring legitimate to the 380,000 Republican voters, but rather only to the few "insiders" with itching ears, and cranky dispositions.

No one can seriously think that Pat Davis, or ProgressNowNewMexico really have the best interests of the Republicans at heart. The same must be said about blogger Joe Monahan, whom the anti-Rogers (actually anti-Martinez) crowd has used throughout, as Monahan is a constant (sometimes daily) anti-Republican source of Democrat Party talking points.

We can see that this is going to be another multi-part series

But we will leave you with the first example of the growing evidence of the dirty campaign run by the Group B crowd.

The Christmann apology: https://goo.gl/FjTFzU

One of the "endorsers" of Harvey Yates, a Mr. Charles Christmann, felt so used by the Yates Campaign that he took to YouTube to offer a video apology to Pat Rogers. NMPJ interviewed Mr. Christmann today, and he confessed to not having written the "endorsement letter" sent out by Yates.

He did say he knew who did write it, but declined to release their names. Perhaps they will step forward. Many have speculated that it may have been State Representative Montoya, as he is the object of some ire we have heard from legislators who never actually saw the letter in which they purportedly endorse Mr. Yates.

Mr. Christmann rather generously claims not to believe that Yates wrote the letter himself. This of course raises the question:  Did Yates even have control of his own campaign? Christmann, demurred on that question, hesitating and then declining to answer.

Questions for Yates

So NMPJ then forwarded the following inquiry to Harvey Yates.

Mr. Yates

On May 16, you sent out a letter from a Mr. Charles Christmann which strongly attacked then-National Committeeman Pat Rogers.

Mr. Christmann has since posted a video  (shown here:  https://goo.gl/FjTFzU ) which apologizes to Mr. Rogers and disavows the letter you sent out.

Specifically he calls your email “atrocious,” says he did not write it, that it “should never have been created and should never have gone out.”

This is significant specifically in regard to you, Mr. Yates, because you have taken a very high profile position regarding what you have called “negative campaigns,” “half-truths,” and “misleading ads.”  You have pointedly condemned them, as well as the “tone and content” of the very thing you have your name on—and which Mr. Christmann says he had no part in.

In fact, Mr. Christmann doesn’t even give you credit for a “half-truth” (or quarter or eighth). He is essentially calling you out as having sent out a false letter—and you also sent out a mailer with the exact wording.  Our questions to you are:

  • Who wrote the letter to which you affixed Mr. Christmann’s name?
  • Did you write the letter?
  • Did you have any documentation to show that Mr. Christmann said any of the things in the letter you sent out?

It’s important to know all these things, given your public pronouncements.

New Mexico Political Journal

Given the way Yates conducted his campaign, which, it must be noted any dispassionate observer, cannot be called ethical in any sense of the word, we do not actually expect a reply.


In Coming Issues, we will discuss the multi-faceted aftermath of the Quadrennial Convention and continue discussing the current state of the Republican Party in New Mexico:

  • Harvey Yates post-convention letter: Why he confirms the points we made about his motivation
  • There will be little change: Group A Republicans will continue working for a majority. Group B will keep doing what they do.
  • How the Dividers Form Pro-Democrat Alliance: Why Trump's Speech is exactly the same as Yates'
  • The disconnect between party "activists" and actual rank-and-file Republican Voters.
  • Pearce weighs in with outright lie?  Did Steve Pearce tell a lie to House Counsel's Office? It appears he did. Consequences?
  • Legislators: Living up to Prior Assessments? Character Questions: Biting the hand that feeds you.
  • Why some say 112 names picked at random from the Voter File would produce a legislature with a higher average IQ.
  • Yates' mention of Rep. Zach Cook:  Why Cook shouldn't come within a 10-foot pole of the great divider.
  • Yates' Announced Surrender to Democrats: Before we know the outcome of the fall elections
  • 2002: The Walter Bradley-John Sanchez Hangover
  • 2012: The treatment of Angie Spears: Mean People Who Won't Let Go
  • Your Mail: Great Insights from Activists Witnessing all of this, first hand

Email us with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas.

Intelligent Political Discourse—for the Thoughtful New Mexican

 

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2016 Presidential Campaign - Republicans

Jeb Bush gets religion.

"They said he got religion at the end, and I'm glad that he did."  — Tom T. Hall. The Year Clayton Delaney died.

Well, it's official.  Jeb Bush has changed quite of few of his positions on illegal immigration.  The single most significant is that he no longer endorses the "path to citizenship" for those who came here illegally. 

This is, after all, the key portion of any proposal aimed at "reforming" our existing illegal immigration situation.

No sensible citizen can see any point in trying to deport between 12 and 16 million people currently living in America illegally.  And no candidate for any office that we know of supports that.  What the average American wants is for the country to "get a handle on it."  They want it stopped, our borders secured and future illegal immigration prevented.  It is a national security issue.

The Path to Legal Status

The only way to accomplish the above goals, is to identify current illegal immigrants, get them accounted for, have them documented, and placed on a path to legal status.  Neither they nor their children or spouses should live in a state of fear or anxiety.

But a path to "citizenship" is not the right course.  It is not morally or legally correct.  A merciful and compassionate nation can provide the safeguards of legal status without sending the message to the rest of the world that all you have to do is cross our border and you will eventually get to become a citizen, thus circumventing the legal framework scores of millions of Americans have followed, honored and respected.

If someone who is granted legal status eventually wants to become a citizen, that person should have to return to his or her country of origin and wait in line like 20 million people around the world are doing at any given time.  Failing that, America will forever send the signal that anyone in the world can "jump the line," and that there is no reason at all to obey our immigration and naturalization laws.

We Like Jeb Bush

We are glad Jeb Bush has learned this lesson.  He is a fine speaker, and can eloquently explain his positions on complex issue.  If he were not named "Bush" he would be an actual top tier candidate—in all that that title would entail, including likelihood of acceptance and support of and from the American people in the primaries, and in any theoretical general election.  

We also recognize that he already is a de facto top-tier candidate because of his fame and his fundraising.

If he were to be the nominee of the Republican Party we would heartily support him and endorse him.  We hope, however, that he is not, as he does not give the center-right coalition the best chance of winning.

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    Selma   ????? We have now seen the Oscar-nominated movie Selma.   Our earlier allusion to criticism that sounded as though it was in an Oliver Stone category for historical fabrication is some...

Sports

Sports

The Major League Baseball Playoffs are not realistic, and destroy the actual meaning of the sport. 

Major League Baseball is unique in this respect—its postseason is markedly different from the way the game is played normally.  No other major league sport suffers from this flaw.

Not that much is wrong with baseball. In some respects it's the most well thought-out sport there is.  The "perfect game" many aficionados say.

But the Major League Baseball postseason experience is unique in the world of professional sports, and not in a good way. 

In fact the playoffs are flawed in such a way as to detract from the sport itself and diminish the game and what it means to be the world champion of the sport. 

Among the Big Four team sports of North America: football, hockey, basketball and baseball—and all the 122 professional major league teams competing in the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB respectively—it is in baseball alone that the postseason turns the sport itself on its head and makes it reflect something that it is not.  This article will explain why that happens and why it is wrong-headed.

 

Background on the The Frequency of Play

The 30 teams in both the National Hockey League and the National Basketball Association teams play a very similar schedule.  On average, each team has a day off between games, sometimes two days off.  Though there are back-to-back games, they are relatively infrequent.  NBA teams play between 14 and 22 back-to-back games a season, and for the NHL it usually ranges between 9 and 19. The NFL has a full week between games, the exception being the new Thursday games that each team plays once, leaving them only four days' rest once a year.

But baseball players play every single day.  Ten days straight, then a day off, then seven more games, then a day off, then ten more games.  Typically a baseball team plays 27 games every 30 days.  For the NHL and NBA it would be 14 per month, and for the NFL the number would be 4.

 

Getting to the Playoffs:  It's a grind

In all four sports, getting to the postseason requires a total team effort—in fact an all-out total organizational effort.  Teams must be deep, have bench strength and the capability of moving players in and out of the lineup, and on and off the roster, who can take the place of key players who go down for an injury, or who have to miss games for whatever reason.  While this is true of the other three major sports as well, it is most certainly even more of a concern for baseball teams because of the sheer volume of games in which a team must field a competitive lineup.

Each league's regular season* is a marathon, not a sprint.  NFL teams play for 17 weeks, 16 games.  The NHL has an 82-game season over six months, paralleled by an NBA season of 84 games over the same timeframe. Baseball is the biggest marathon of all—a true test of resilience and endurance—162 games usually starting around the beginning of April and finishing about the end of September.

NHL teams carry 23-man rosters, of which 20 can be active for any particular game.  The NBA is similar, with 15-man rosters of which 13 can be on the bench for a given game. In the NFL, the teams have 53 players on a roster, but only 46 can suit up on game day.  In Major League Baseball, teams have a 25-man active roster, and all 25 are at the park every day.

 

The Postseason Playoffs:  Sport by Sport

The National Football League:

Of the 32 teams, 12 qualify for the playoffs.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season.  Each team plays once a week, the exception being that the four top teams get the first week off.  For a typical qualifier to reach the Super Bowl, the team must play three consecutive weeks.  At that point both remaining teams have two weeks off before the Super Bowl.

In short, the playoffs, with a game each week, reflects the same means of advancement as is present in regular season grind.

The National Hockey League: 

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

 

The National Basketball Association

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

Major League Baseball

10 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  (Although four of those teams qualify only for a one-game do-or-die play-in game.)

Here is where all similarity to baseball ends. 

Unlike the other three sports whose playoffs mirror the test of the regular season, and whose conditions are the same as the regular season, Major League Baseball playoffs in no way resemble the sport itself.  In hockey, basketball and football, the teams win playoff games and reach the pinacle of the sport in exactly the same way that they qualify to try to do so. 

Not so in baseball.  They are two entirely different concepts.  Teams make the playoffs only because they have depth, five-man pitching rotations and can play day-in and day-out at a high level.  But the baseball playoffs suddenly become a kind of "all-star" game within each team's roster.  MLB playoffs are conducted in a way that more closely follows the NBA and the NHL.  Teams have enormous numbers of days off. 

Here's the key point:  No Major League Baseball team could even qualify for the postseason if they played the same way during the regular season that they do in the playoffs.  None.

In the regular season Major League Baseball teams have to use a 5-man starting rotation, with pitchers pitching every 5th day.  There are not enough days off to have even a four-man rotation, let alone a team with three pitchers.  Even the best team in baseball using only a 4-man rotation, would wear them out, and most likely end up with a record of something like 66-96, or 70-92—and that would be if they were otherwise teh best team in the sport.

 

The 2014 Baseball Postseason is Typical

As examples, last year's World Series teams the Kansas City Royals played only 15 games in 30 days, and the San Francisco Giants played only 17 games in 30 days.  The 12 to 15 days off in the non-baseball fantasy world of the MLB postseason, means that teams can turn to three pitchers and give all of them plenty of rest.  But it isn't the way baseball really works.

At one point, the Royals had 5 consecutive days off, and the Giants had 4.  This never happens in the regular season.  Even the All-Star break is only three days.  Very rarely is there anything beyond a one-day break, and even that happens only a couple of times a month. 

What this means is that neither team used the team that got them to the playoffs.  (The NFL, NBA and NHL teams ALL used the very same teams that got them to the playoffs.) 

Baseball teams use a three-man pitching rotation in the playoffs.  Sometimes, they essentially opt for two pitchers only—conceding the likelihood that some of their games are going to be lost—when their third-, or rarely fourth-best pitcher has to face one of their opponents' two-man or three-man rotation members. 

Imagine an NFL team using only one running back and three wide receivers, instead of rotating through their roster in the course of a playoff game—or using only 4 defensive backs and 4 linebackers, instead of rotating 8 or 9 DBs and 6 or 7 linebackers?  In hockey, would a team use only two or three of their forward lines?  Would an NBA team use only the starting five?  They would never make the post season if they tried to present that product to their fans during the regular season.

Those are the equivalents of what Major League Baseball sets up every fall.  No other sport drags its playoffs out in such a way as to completely change the playing field—completely change the dynamics of its game.

Why Does Baseball Do This?

MLB does this because the TV networks want to drag out the games so that they can try to have one game each day  This requires an unnecessary staggering of games, and creates the phenomenon of 15 off-days in a month.

What about travel days?

What about them?  Baseball has travel days constantly.  A team may play in Chicago one day and in Miami the next, or in New York one day and Phoenix the very next day.  Travel days as a routine part of the game are again, a phenomenon of television, and stretching out the playoffs.

In years past, travel days were employed only when necessary. The famous "subway series" games were played on seven consecutive days.  Why?  Because there was no "travel day" required to go from Brooklyn to the Bronx.  Today, they would put in artificial travel days.

Even fairly long train trips didn't necessarily matter.  The 1948 World Series between the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Braves was played in six consecutive days, October 6 & 7 in Boston, October 8, 9 & 10 in Cleveland, and October 11 back in Boston.

This reflects actual baseball, the way the teams play day-in and day-out, and the kind of unique test that baseball presents to its athletes, its managers and management, and to its fans.

In the modern world of charter planes, teams fly from coast to coast to play games on consecutive days.  The artificial "travel day" should be eliminated so that teams can play in the playoffs in the same way that got them there in the first place.


*All these leagues also have pre-seasons and training camps, which add an additional 6-8 weeks to each player's year.


Email us with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas. 

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