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The Current Cyber-Security Debates May Present Very Real Credibility Concerns for the Pearce Campaign. We Endorse Pearce, but Recognize He Can Have no Unforced Errors.

04/15/2018

CYBER-SECURITY: A TWO-EDGED SWORD FOR PEARCE?

Many of our readers expressed concern with our very favorable recent article about Congressman Steve Pearce's gubernatorial campaign. With the constant talk about the Russians and the Chinese, one big issue on the horizon is cyber-security. And Congressman Pearce has been holding hearings and playing a leading role on this critical issue. Chairing a recent hearing, Pearce said:

"An increasing amount of cyber-attacks have led to …identity theft…and other types of fraud.  Cyber-theft is particularly damaging…sensitive information [is] being stolen. I thank the witnesses...for discussing how we can combat these cyber-attacks and protect Americans’ sensitive information.”

Those are good sentiments, and by all accounts Pearce is on the right track by showing leadership and getting out front on this crucial domestic and national security issue. Here’s the problem:

According to  reports filed on Monday, Steve Pearce has hired Anissa Ford, apparently to be a part of both his congressional staff as well as his campaign staff. Either way, the Democrats could seize on the hire. Here’s why:

In 2012, Anissa Ford’s home was raided by the FBI after the FBI verified her involvement in a cyber-security matter, namely the theft and distribution of Governor Susana Martinez’s private political and campaign emails. As it turns out, Ford was involved in an email theft ring with multiple Democrat leaders, including the State Party Chairman Sam Bregman, his aide Jason Loera, and another operative by the name of Jamie Estrada. 

Eventually, Loera pled guilty to child pornography charges and is currently in prison, while Estrada was charged with stealing the Governor’s emails and ended up serving a year in a federal prison in Colorado. 

Ford, who was represented by the law firm of yet another former Democrat Party Chairman, John Wertheim, negotiated a deal with federal prosecutors to flip on her "friends" and testify before the federal grand jury. Ford got a deal for immunity, which helped her avoid trial and prison. In exchange, the prosecutors got the details of the theft and the illegal dissemination from someone on the inside.

STAFF INVOLVEMENT IN EMAIL THEFT IS NOT EXACTLY THE BEST WAY TO ESTABLISH “CYBER-SECURITY” CREDENTIALS—BUT FORD ALSO WORKED ENTHUSIASTICALLY FOR DEMOCRATS

Text messages seized by the FBI in the criminal investigation reveal the extreme degree to which Ford and others were using the stolen emails to attack Governor Martinez and other Republicans.  It was an ongoing effort where the Democrats, along with Ford and Estrada, conspired together to distribute the stolen emails, and otherwise attack Republicans, in ways that would be the most damaging, and most advantageous to Democrats.

PEARCE STAFFER WORKED TO PUSH STOLEN EMAILS TO THE PUBLIC

After Estrada stole the emails, Ford was texting with the Democrat operative Loera that she was working to convince Estrada to push the emails out to the public:

On June 12, 2012, as the first stolen email was leaked to the press, Anissa Ford texted Jason Loera that she had convinced Estrada to provide all the stolen emails to Michael Corwin, a long-time Democrat operative who was running a union-funded website to attack Republicans.

  • Anissa Ford to Jason Loera: “Got Jamie convinced. Have good stuff for u today.”

Then on June 17, 2012, Ford reported to the Democrats about her efforts to convince Jamie Estrada to reveal more stolen emails and provide access to the entire stolen email cache:

  • Loera:  “I think Jamie should give me the pw ASAP. So I can dl. Go daddy may wipe it.”
  • Ford: “Jamie wanting to hold off on emails again. He is wiggin’ again. Call when you can.”

Then, on the day Estrada was confronted by the FBI about his potential role in the email theft, Anissa immediately went to Bregman and Loera for help.

  • Anissa Ford to Sam Bregman (Democrat State Party Chair): “Need to talk to one of u ASAP. 911”

After the conversation, Ford texted Bregman again to thank him for the support the two Democrats provided:

  • Anissa Ford:  “Can’t thank you both enough for your support and friendship. Means a great deal to both me and Jamie. Always knew we would have this to face but it’s scary when it actually hits.”

Buoyed by the “support and friendship” of the Democrat operatives, the attacks by Ford and Estrada on Republicans only increased.

On August 10, 2012, two of the Democrat operatives and Ford bragged and toasted each other about negative stories they had planted about Republicans on a Democrat blog and in the Albuquerque Journal:

  • Michael Corwin:  “….Amazing expose!”
  • Jason Loera: “Great Monahan. Grab the Journal today. They hit Rogers.”
  • Michael Corwin: “Love love love it!!!!”
  • Anissa Ford: “Ditto!! HaHa”

A text from  on September 1, 2012 highlights the extreme hatred Ford directed at Republicans and her pride in assisting the Democrats in their efforts to attack Republicans.

  • Anissa Ford: “We are going to take this bitch down!  I fucking HATE her!”
  • Jason Loera: “Enjoy your weekend knowing that next week will be the greatest political scandal in the history of NM. It’s a long way down for SM [Susana Martinez]. It will be stretching her spanks to the limit!!!”
  • Anissa Ford: “Hahahahahha So glad to have met you guys. It’s gonna be. Great ride.”
  • Jason Loera: “Must say with you and JE (Jamie Estrada) we make a great team and that’s half the battle.”
  • Anissa Ford: “Awww. Thanks. Proud to be part of it. And I can’t fucking wait till Tuesday! Hahaha.
  • Loera: “Indeed. The anticipation makes me feel like a kid! Like waiting to get on a cool ride at the state fair ;) wheee”

IT WASN’T JUST CYBERTHEFT THAT FORD WAS INVOLVED IN: SHE WANTED TO DEFEAT REPUBLICANS

But it wasn’t just Governor Martinez that Ford was willing to attack. She helped in the campaign for Democrat Mark D'Antonio to defeat Republican Amy Orlando for District Attorney in Doña Ana County. Estrada and Ford misled the Doña Ana Republican Party in order to gain inside information to assist their client, a Democrat running against a Republican.

The text messages are replete with efforts to assist Democrats and defeat the Republican, with texts from Ford making it crystal clear that money was moving from Democrat PACs to the campaign. 

Ford texted on October 17, 2012: 

“Anyway we can get that money ASAP?  Money is very low and just did another mailer. Need to pay some bills.”

CLOSING IN ON THE CYBER-THEFT RING 

As the FBI continued its investigation, shortly after the 2012 election, the concerns about the legality of the email theft and illegal dissemination focused on Loera, Ford, and Bregman.

On November 19, 2012, according to search warrant affidavits, the FBI raided the homes of Ford and Loera. At Loera’s home, the FBI stumbled across child pornography, which would later send him to prison.

Ford, clearly recognizing the gig was up and that she was in the sights, agreed to testify to the grand jury and rat out her co-conspirators in exchange for immunity for her part in the theft and illegal dissemination of stolen emails. (NOTE: This puts her almost on par with Clinton operatives Cheryl Mills—who ratted out Hillary’s unsecured email server situation in exchange for immunity. In fact, Mills and Ford both belong in the “Cyber Security Hall of Fame.”)

FORD THEN APPEARS TO MANEUVER PEARCE INTO A COMPROMISING SITUATION, POSSIBLY GETTING HIM TO SPEND TIME WORKING TO ASSIST A CYBER-THIEF 

Ford, apparently feeling guilty for her grand jury testimony that landed Estrada in jail, attempted to call in some favors from the Democrats she had served so well. After Jamie was convicted and sentenced to prison, Ford was working with union operative Michael Corwin (again, Richardson’s former opposition researcher and the man who created the website to attack Republicans) to enlist his help and other high-profile Democrats to get Estrada out of prison. Corwin agreed to talk to Richardson and the Democrat congressional delegation, presumably stressing Estrada’s (and Ford’s) services to the Democratic Party.

Ford insisted that she had convinced Steve Pearce to support a pardon or commutation. 

The fact that Ford would carelessly tie Steve Pearce to a collection of shady Democratic operatives in a fool-hardy endeavor to assist a cyber-thief could be used to undermine Pearce's credibility on cyber-security and the all-important issue of personal privacy.   

FORD'S EFFORTS TO DEFEAT REPUBLICANS FAILED

Fortunately for Republicans in New Mexico, the efforts to attack Republican candidates not only failed, they backfired. The truth was revealed and the culprits were exposed, with both Loera and Estrada going to prison.   

Moreover, Governor Martinez was re-elected by a record margin and Republicans won control of the state House in 2014.

EMAIL THEFT LAWSUITS AGAINST FORD

Ford and company were later sued in federal court for their roles in the email thefts. They were forced to settle for an undisclosed, though likely large, sum of money. While the entire depth and specific details of Ford’s work for the Democrats was not disclosed, the documents made public in the criminal and civil lawsuits establish her willingness to use any means available to attack Republicans, including facilitating the theft of private emails and the dissemination of personal information. 

Sadly, these efforts to attack Governor Martinez and further divide the party have never stopped, with Anissa Ford playing a central role.  This makes her paid position with the Pearce campaign and the Pearce Congressional staff even that more puzzling.

WILL THE DEMOCRATS TURN ON THEIR OWN DOUBLE AGENT FORD AND HIT PEARCE AT CRUNCH TIME?

As we have noted for more than a year, we strongly support the Republican nominee for Governor—as we do all Republican candidates up and down the ticket. We do point out the divisive figures that have used positions within the Republican Party of New Mexico to pursue their own, highly personal, agendas—agendas that have nothing at all to do with electing Republicans. As an example, Ford was also very intensely concerned about re-electing former Democrat Senator Tim Jennings of Roswell when he was being supported by “Republican” Harvey Yates—who now serves as Republican National Committeeman.

It is our hope and prayer that the good work Pearce is doing on Cyber Security will not be used against him by Democrats who could easily point out that his own staffer is one of the perpetrators in the biggest cyber-security theft in New Mexico history. While Republicans are united behind Pearce, Democrats have the luxury of waiting as long as they need to for the moment they choose to spring a surprise on Pearce—much as Yates did on Republican state senate candidate Cliff Pirtle in 2012 (albeit unsuccessfully). 

If they do, it could be a principal contributor to a Republican loss in the race for governor. It would be an unforced error of the first magnitude if the Democrats’ alliance with Ford and company succeeds beyond their wildest imaginations and becomes the final chapter of a cyber-theft fiasco that began six years ago.

PEARCE is OUR CHOICE FOR GOVERNOR, But We Recognize He Can Have No Unforced Errors

As we announced last year, Steve Pearce is our choice for governor, acknowledging that in New Mexico a great number of things have to go well for any Republican to win any statewide race. We can also see that Trump's personal conduct is not helping the cause, and there’s not much anyone can do about that, for now. *(See below for the irony regarding Trump's position today)

Meanwhile for Pearce, there's lots of good news: Steve Pearce is the first Republican candidate for an open New Mexico gubernatorial seat in 54 years to face no primary opponent. Not since Merle H. Tucker got the 1964 nomination has there been a free ride for a non-incumbent Republican running for governor. That saves tremendous amounts of money, not to mention the  potential damage that hotly contested primaries can cause. 

And Pearce has a good-sized war chest, more than any Democrat, and is raising money at a healthy rate. On the other side, the Michelle Lujan Grisham-Jeff Apodaca-Joseph Cervantes primary showdown could produce some fireworks, leaving the winner with some open wounds that could have a lasting effect during the general election. But even if the three Democrats melt down, Pearce still has to play a near-perfect hand. He can have no unforced errors, and no self-inflicted wounds.


*It is a supreme irony of our time that the Trump Administration has been remarkably successful in both domestic and foreign policy, while the American public reaction to Trump personally is disproportionately negative. Those two juxtaposed realities are leaving Republicans all over the country very frustrated, and polls show (at least for now) that 2018 is shaping up to be a difficult year. After all, why should demonstrably positive turnarounds from the policy disasters left by Obama not be rewarded? Why can’t Republicans benefit from what they have achieved? Right now it looks as though the answer may simply be Trump himself—too much tweeting, too much ad libbing, too much exposure. We’ll see. Things could take a turn for the better, poll-wise, and we certainly hope they do.


Email us (at nmpj@dfn.com) with your feedback, comments, questions and ideas.


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Jeb Bush gets religion.

"They said he got religion at the end, and I'm glad that he did."  — Tom T. Hall. The Year Clayton Delaney died.

Well, it's official.  Jeb Bush has changed quite of few of his positions on illegal immigration.  The single most significant is that he no longer endorses the "path to citizenship" for those who came here illegally. 

This is, after all, the key portion of any proposal aimed at "reforming" our existing illegal immigration situation.

No sensible citizen can see any point in trying to deport between 12 and 16 million people currently living in America illegally.  And no candidate for any office that we know of supports that.  What the average American wants is for the country to "get a handle on it."  They want it stopped, our borders secured and future illegal immigration prevented.  It is a national security issue.

The Path to Legal Status

The only way to accomplish the above goals, is to identify current illegal immigrants, get them accounted for, have them documented, and placed on a path to legal status.  Neither they nor their children or spouses should live in a state of fear or anxiety.

But a path to "citizenship" is not the right course.  It is not morally or legally correct.  A merciful and compassionate nation can provide the safeguards of legal status without sending the message to the rest of the world that all you have to do is cross our border and you will eventually get to become a citizen, thus circumventing the legal framework scores of millions of Americans have followed, honored and respected.

If someone who is granted legal status eventually wants to become a citizen, that person should have to return to his or her country of origin and wait in line like 20 million people around the world are doing at any given time.  Failing that, America will forever send the signal that anyone in the world can "jump the line," and that there is no reason at all to obey our immigration and naturalization laws.

We Like Jeb Bush

We are glad Jeb Bush has learned this lesson.  He is a fine speaker, and can eloquently explain his positions on complex issue.  If he were not named "Bush" he would be an actual top tier candidate—in all that that title would entail, including likelihood of acceptance and support of and from the American people in the primaries, and in any theoretical general election.  

We also recognize that he already is a de facto top-tier candidate because of his fame and his fundraising.

If he were to be the nominee of the Republican Party we would heartily support him and endorse him.  We hope, however, that he is not, as he does not give the center-right coalition the best chance of winning.

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    Selma   ????? We have now seen the Oscar-nominated movie Selma.   Our earlier allusion to criticism that sounded as though it was in an Oliver Stone category for historical fabrication is some...

Sports

Sports

The Major League Baseball Playoffs are not realistic, and destroy the actual meaning of the sport. 

Major League Baseball is unique in this respect—its postseason is markedly different from the way the game is played normally.  No other major league sport suffers from this flaw.

Not that much is wrong with baseball. In some respects it's the most well thought-out sport there is.  The "perfect game" many aficionados say.

But the Major League Baseball postseason experience is unique in the world of professional sports, and not in a good way. 

In fact the playoffs are flawed in such a way as to detract from the sport itself and diminish the game and what it means to be the world champion of the sport. 

Among the Big Four team sports of North America: football, hockey, basketball and baseball—and all the 122 professional major league teams competing in the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB respectively—it is in baseball alone that the postseason turns the sport itself on its head and makes it reflect something that it is not.  This article will explain why that happens and why it is wrong-headed.

 

Background on the The Frequency of Play

The 30 teams in both the National Hockey League and the National Basketball Association teams play a very similar schedule.  On average, each team has a day off between games, sometimes two days off.  Though there are back-to-back games, they are relatively infrequent.  NBA teams play between 14 and 22 back-to-back games a season, and for the NHL it usually ranges between 9 and 19. The NFL has a full week between games, the exception being the new Thursday games that each team plays once, leaving them only four days' rest once a year.

But baseball players play every single day.  Ten days straight, then a day off, then seven more games, then a day off, then ten more games.  Typically a baseball team plays 27 games every 30 days.  For the NHL and NBA it would be 14 per month, and for the NFL the number would be 4.

 

Getting to the Playoffs:  It's a grind

In all four sports, getting to the postseason requires a total team effort—in fact an all-out total organizational effort.  Teams must be deep, have bench strength and the capability of moving players in and out of the lineup, and on and off the roster, who can take the place of key players who go down for an injury, or who have to miss games for whatever reason.  While this is true of the other three major sports as well, it is most certainly even more of a concern for baseball teams because of the sheer volume of games in which a team must field a competitive lineup.

Each league's regular season* is a marathon, not a sprint.  NFL teams play for 17 weeks, 16 games.  The NHL has an 82-game season over six months, paralleled by an NBA season of 84 games over the same timeframe. Baseball is the biggest marathon of all—a true test of resilience and endurance—162 games usually starting around the beginning of April and finishing about the end of September.

NHL teams carry 23-man rosters, of which 20 can be active for any particular game.  The NBA is similar, with 15-man rosters of which 13 can be on the bench for a given game. In the NFL, the teams have 53 players on a roster, but only 46 can suit up on game day.  In Major League Baseball, teams have a 25-man active roster, and all 25 are at the park every day.

 

The Postseason Playoffs:  Sport by Sport

The National Football League:

Of the 32 teams, 12 qualify for the playoffs.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season.  Each team plays once a week, the exception being that the four top teams get the first week off.  For a typical qualifier to reach the Super Bowl, the team must play three consecutive weeks.  At that point both remaining teams have two weeks off before the Super Bowl.

In short, the playoffs, with a game each week, reflects the same means of advancement as is present in regular season grind.

The National Hockey League: 

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

 

The National Basketball Association

16 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  The playoffs are conducted in the exact same manner as the regular season: a game, a day off, a game, a day off, a game, a day off, and so on.  Just as in the regular season, there are occasionally two days off.  But the playoffs require the same stamina, the same approach as that required to make the playoffs.

Major League Baseball

10 of the 30 teams qualify for the postseason.  (Although four of those teams qualify only for a one-game do-or-die play-in game.)

Here is where all similarity to baseball ends. 

Unlike the other three sports whose playoffs mirror the test of the regular season, and whose conditions are the same as the regular season, Major League Baseball playoffs in no way resemble the sport itself.  In hockey, basketball and football, the teams win playoff games and reach the pinacle of the sport in exactly the same way that they qualify to try to do so. 

Not so in baseball.  They are two entirely different concepts.  Teams make the playoffs only because they have depth, five-man pitching rotations and can play day-in and day-out at a high level.  But the baseball playoffs suddenly become a kind of "all-star" game within each team's roster.  MLB playoffs are conducted in a way that more closely follows the NBA and the NHL.  Teams have enormous numbers of days off. 

Here's the key point:  No Major League Baseball team could even qualify for the postseason if they played the same way during the regular season that they do in the playoffs.  None.

In the regular season Major League Baseball teams have to use a 5-man starting rotation, with pitchers pitching every 5th day.  There are not enough days off to have even a four-man rotation, let alone a team with three pitchers.  Even the best team in baseball using only a 4-man rotation, would wear them out, and most likely end up with a record of something like 66-96, or 70-92—and that would be if they were otherwise teh best team in the sport.

 

The 2014 Baseball Postseason is Typical

As examples, last year's World Series teams the Kansas City Royals played only 15 games in 30 days, and the San Francisco Giants played only 17 games in 30 days.  The 12 to 15 days off in the non-baseball fantasy world of the MLB postseason, means that teams can turn to three pitchers and give all of them plenty of rest.  But it isn't the way baseball really works.

At one point, the Royals had 5 consecutive days off, and the Giants had 4.  This never happens in the regular season.  Even the All-Star break is only three days.  Very rarely is there anything beyond a one-day break, and even that happens only a couple of times a month. 

What this means is that neither team used the team that got them to the playoffs.  (The NFL, NBA and NHL teams ALL used the very same teams that got them to the playoffs.) 

Baseball teams use a three-man pitching rotation in the playoffs.  Sometimes, they essentially opt for two pitchers only—conceding the likelihood that some of their games are going to be lost—when their third-, or rarely fourth-best pitcher has to face one of their opponents' two-man or three-man rotation members. 

Imagine an NFL team using only one running back and three wide receivers, instead of rotating through their roster in the course of a playoff game—or using only 4 defensive backs and 4 linebackers, instead of rotating 8 or 9 DBs and 6 or 7 linebackers?  In hockey, would a team use only two or three of their forward lines?  Would an NBA team use only the starting five?  They would never make the post season if they tried to present that product to their fans during the regular season.

Those are the equivalents of what Major League Baseball sets up every fall.  No other sport drags its playoffs out in such a way as to completely change the playing field—completely change the dynamics of its game.

Why Does Baseball Do This?

MLB does this because the TV networks want to drag out the games so that they can try to have one game each day  This requires an unnecessary staggering of games, and creates the phenomenon of 15 off-days in a month.

What about travel days?

What about them?  Baseball has travel days constantly.  A team may play in Chicago one day and in Miami the next, or in New York one day and Phoenix the very next day.  Travel days as a routine part of the game are again, a phenomenon of television, and stretching out the playoffs.

In years past, travel days were employed only when necessary. The famous "subway series" games were played on seven consecutive days.  Why?  Because there was no "travel day" required to go from Brooklyn to the Bronx.  Today, they would put in artificial travel days.

Even fairly long train trips didn't necessarily matter.  The 1948 World Series between the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Braves was played in six consecutive days, October 6 & 7 in Boston, October 8, 9 & 10 in Cleveland, and October 11 back in Boston.

This reflects actual baseball, the way the teams play day-in and day-out, and the kind of unique test that baseball presents to its athletes, its managers and management, and to its fans.

In the modern world of charter planes, teams fly from coast to coast to play games on consecutive days.  The artificial "travel day" should be eliminated so that teams can play in the playoffs in the same way that got them there in the first place.


*All these leagues also have pre-seasons and training camps, which add an additional 6-8 weeks to each player's year.


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